Comparison · updated July 2026

Metaculus vs ForecastEx

Metaculus and ForecastEx are two of the most discussed prediction market platforms in the US. Here's a side-by-side look at how they compare on the factors that actually matter for traders.

Editorial disclosure. HunchMarkets may earn a commission when readers sign up via our links. Our rankings, ratings and methodology are decided independently of commercial relationships.

Metaculus

4.4/5

Community forecasting platform focused on calibration and long-horizon questions.

Serious forecasters Non-profit / educational

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ForecastEx

4.4/5

An exchange-grade forecast market owned by Interactive Brokers.

Brokerage-grade access via Interactive Brokers CFTC-regulated

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Rating

Metaculus

4.4

ForecastEx

4.4

Best for

Metaculus

Serious forecasters

ForecastEx

Brokerage-grade access via Interactive Brokers

Regulation

Metaculus

Non-profit / educational

ForecastEx

CFTC-regulated

US availability

Metaculus

Available

ForecastEx

Available

Fees

Metaculus

Free

ForecastEx

1 cent per contract

Mobile

Metaculus

Good

ForecastEx

Good

Markets

Metaculus

AI, Politics, Economy, Culture

ForecastEx

Economy, Climate, Politics, Financial events

Payment

Metaculus

ForecastEx

Bank transfer, IBKR funding

Founded

Metaculus

ForecastEx

2023

Category	Metaculus	ForecastEx
Rating	4.4	4.4
Best for	Serious forecasters	Brokerage-grade access via Interactive Brokers
Regulation	Non-profit / educational	CFTC-regulated
US availability	Available	Available
Fees	Free	1 cent per contract
Mobile	Good	Good
Markets	AI, Politics, Economy, Culture	Economy, Climate, Politics, Financial events
Payment		Bank transfer, IBKR funding
Founded		2023

Verdicts

Who wins, category by category

Best overall

Metaculus

Higher composite rating across our methodology.

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Best for beginners

Metaculus

Cleaner onboarding and a more polished consumer experience.

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Best for regulation

ForecastEx

Operates as a CFTC-designated contract market.

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Best for liquidity

Metaculus

Deepest order books on headline markets.

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Best for market variety

Metaculus

Wider catalogue of available event contracts.

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Final take

Should you choose Metaculus or ForecastEx?

Metaculus comes out narrowly ahead in our methodology, but both platforms have a clear lane. Choose Metaculus for serious forecasters, and ForecastEx for brokerage-grade access via interactive brokers.

Visit Metaculus Visit ForecastEx

Risk warning. Event contracts are financial instruments. You can lose your full premium. Trade only where legally permitted in your jurisdiction. This is not investment, legal or tax advice.