Comparison · updated July 2026

Metaculus vs PredictIt

Metaculus and PredictIt are two of the most discussed prediction market platforms in the US. Here's a side-by-side look at how they compare on the factors that actually matter for traders.

Editorial disclosure. HunchMarkets may earn a commission when readers sign up via our links. Our rankings, ratings and methodology are decided independently of commercial relationships.

Metaculus

4.4/5

Community forecasting platform focused on calibration and long-horizon questions.

Serious forecasters Non-profit / educational

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PredictIt

3.6/5

Academic political prediction market operating under CFTC no-action relief.

US political markets CFTC no-action

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Rating

Metaculus

4.4

PredictIt

3.6

Best for

Metaculus

Serious forecasters

PredictIt

US political markets

Regulation

Metaculus

Non-profit / educational

PredictIt

CFTC no-action

US availability

Metaculus

Available

PredictIt

Available

Fees

Metaculus

Free

PredictIt

Withdrawal + profit fees

Mobile

Metaculus

Good

PredictIt

Good

Markets

Metaculus

AI, Politics, Economy, Culture

PredictIt

Politics

Payment

Metaculus

PredictIt

Founded

Metaculus

PredictIt

Category	Metaculus	PredictIt
Rating	4.4	3.6
Best for	Serious forecasters	US political markets
Regulation	Non-profit / educational	CFTC no-action
US availability	Available	Available
Fees	Free	Withdrawal + profit fees
Mobile	Good	Good
Markets	AI, Politics, Economy, Culture	Politics
Payment
Founded

Verdicts

Who wins, category by category

Best overall

Metaculus

Higher composite rating across our methodology.

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Best for beginners

Metaculus

Cleaner onboarding and a more polished consumer experience.

Visit Metaculus

Best for regulation

PredictIt

Operates as a CFTC-designated contract market.

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Best for liquidity

Metaculus

Deepest order books on headline markets.

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Best for market variety

Metaculus

Wider catalogue of available event contracts.

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Final take

Should you choose Metaculus or PredictIt?

Metaculus comes out narrowly ahead in our methodology, but both platforms have a clear lane. Choose Metaculus for serious forecasters, and PredictIt for us political markets.

Visit Metaculus Visit PredictIt

Risk warning. Event contracts are financial instruments. You can lose your full premium. Trade only where legally permitted in your jurisdiction. This is not investment, legal or tax advice.