Comparison · updated July 2026
Novig vs Manifold Markets
Novig and Manifold Markets are two of the most discussed prediction market platforms in the US. Here's a side-by-side look at how they compare on the factors that actually matter for traders.
Novig
Peer-to-peer sports exchange with no vig.
Manifold Markets
Play-money prediction market platform with real communities and calibration data.
Rating
Novig
4.0
Manifold Markets
4.3
Best for
Novig
Vig-free sports trading
Manifold Markets
Forecasters and researchers
Regulation
Novig
State-by-state (sweepstakes model)
Manifold Markets
Play-money / sweepstakes
US availability
Novig
Available
Manifold Markets
Available
Fees
Novig
Zero vig, spread-based
Manifold Markets
Free (play-money)
Mobile
Novig
Good
Manifold Markets
Good
Markets
Novig
Sports
Manifold Markets
Politics, AI, Culture, Sports, Economy
Payment
Novig
Manifold Markets
Founded
Novig
Manifold Markets
Verdicts
Who wins, category by category
Final take
Should you choose Novig or Manifold Markets?
Manifold Markets comes out narrowly ahead in our methodology, but both platforms have a clear lane. Choose Novig for vig-free sports trading, and Manifold Markets for forecasters and researchers.