Comparison · updated July 2026

PredictIt vs Metaculus

PredictIt and Metaculus are two of the most discussed prediction market platforms in the US. Here's a side-by-side look at how they compare on the factors that actually matter for traders.

Editorial disclosure. HunchMarkets may earn a commission when readers sign up via our links. Our rankings, ratings and methodology are decided independently of commercial relationships.

PredictIt

3.6/5

Academic political prediction market operating under CFTC no-action relief.

US political markets CFTC no-action

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Metaculus

4.4/5

Community forecasting platform focused on calibration and long-horizon questions.

Serious forecasters Non-profit / educational

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Rating

PredictIt

3.6

Metaculus

4.4

Best for

PredictIt

US political markets

Metaculus

Serious forecasters

Regulation

PredictIt

CFTC no-action

Metaculus

Non-profit / educational

US availability

PredictIt

Available

Metaculus

Available

Fees

PredictIt

Withdrawal + profit fees

Metaculus

Free

Mobile

PredictIt

Good

Metaculus

Good

Markets

PredictIt

Politics

Metaculus

AI, Politics, Economy, Culture

Payment

PredictIt

Metaculus

Founded

PredictIt

Metaculus

Category	PredictIt	Metaculus
Rating	3.6	4.4
Best for	US political markets	Serious forecasters
Regulation	CFTC no-action	Non-profit / educational
US availability	Available	Available
Fees	Withdrawal + profit fees	Free
Mobile	Good	Good
Markets	Politics	AI, Politics, Economy, Culture
Payment
Founded

Verdicts

Who wins, category by category

Best overall

Metaculus

Higher composite rating across our methodology.

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Best for beginners

PredictIt

Cleaner onboarding and a more polished consumer experience.

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Best for regulation

PredictIt

Operates as a CFTC-designated contract market.

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Best for liquidity

PredictIt

Deepest order books on headline markets.

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Best for market variety

Metaculus

Wider catalogue of available event contracts.

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Final take

Should you choose PredictIt or Metaculus?

Metaculus comes out narrowly ahead in our methodology, but both platforms have a clear lane. Choose PredictIt for us political markets, and Metaculus for serious forecasters.

Visit PredictIt Visit Metaculus

Risk warning. Event contracts are financial instruments. You can lose your full premium. Trade only where legally permitted in your jurisdiction. This is not investment, legal or tax advice.