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Crypto prediction markets
Token price milestones, protocol events and regulatory outcomes.
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Best platforms for crypto markets
Polymarket
4.3/5The largest crypto-settled prediction market for global events.
Deepest liquidity and largest market variety Offshore
Example market types
- Bitcoin price by year-end
- ETF approvals
- Halving aftermath
- Stablecoin legislation
How pricing works
Crypto markets are priced between one and ninety-nine cents per contract. The price reflects the market's collective probability that the underlying event will occur. A 64-cent Yes price means traders are collectively assigning a 64 percent likelihood to the outcome.
Liquidity, news flow and the time remaining to settlement all influence how quickly prices move. Highly-followed crypto events tend to have tighter spreads and more depth.
Risk warning. Event contracts are financial instruments. You can lose your full premium. Trade only where legally permitted in your jurisdiction. This is not investment, legal or tax advice.